The predictions so far indicate a three-horse race as many of the reports focus on three contenders: Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and Peter Obi of the Labour Party.
1. Bloomberg Poll predicts Peter Obiโs victory An opinion poll commissioned by Bloomberg News, an international news agency headquartered in the United States, placed Peter Obi as the leading candidate in the race to become Nigeriaโs next president in 2023.
The result of the poll published by Bloomberg on Wednesday, September 28, indicates that a clear majority of respondents said they intend to vote for Obi, the Labour Party presidential candidate. โOf the 92% of participants who said theyโve decided how to vote, 72% named Obi as their first choice,โ the survey conducted for Bloomberg News by Premise Data Corp States.
2. Economist Intelligence Unit predicts Tinubuโs victory Tinubu, the APC presidential candidate, will win the 2023 presidential election, the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) predicted in a recent country report. The research and analysis division of The Economist magazine stated the chances of the PDP candidate, Atiku Abubakar, have been significantly reduced by the internal crisis in the opposition party.
The report added that Atiku's chances have been narrowed by the growing popularity of the Labour Party candidate, Obi, in the southeast region, which is traditionally the powerhouse of the PDP.
. Fitch says Tinubu will defeat Obi, Atiku, others Tinubu was also tipped to win the forthcoming presidential election in Nigeria by Fitch Solutions Country Risk and Industry Research. However, the firm, which is a subsidiary of Fitch Ratings, an international credit rating organisation, also added that Tinubuโs victory would trigger social instability and protests because of his partyโs Muslim-Muslim ticket. 4. Sofala Partners predicts victory for Peter Obi in Osun state Unlike others, Sofala Partners limits its prediction to Osun state in the southwest.
The poll conducted by London-based survey company, Emani for U.K Strategic Advisory firm, Sofala Partners, tipped Obi to win Osun state. Sofala Partners said it chose Osun for the poll because the state is not a political stronghold of any political party.
Osun, according to the firm, โprovides a particularly interesting lens through which to explore Obiโs appeal. โIn the July 2022 election for Osun governor, a PDP candidate ousted the APC incumbent, while the candidate for Obiโs LP secured less than 0.5% of the vote. This suggests that Osun is neither a political stronghold for the major parties nor a very promising playing field for the LP,โ the firm said.
It added that Osun was selected for the poll because of the state's religious diversity.